Signals From International Trade Figures In The First Half Of The Year

< p > the total volume, growth and growth structure of international trade in the first half of this year are viewed as < a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.as" > economic < /a > growth is weak.

On the bright side, China's economy has begun to enter the structural adjustment track while slowing economic growth.

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< p > < strong > signal of slower economic growth < /strong > /p >

< p > first, exports in June showed a negative growth of 3.1%.

Trade grew by 13.5% in the first quarter of this year and only 4.3% in the second quarter.

Monthly growth is showing a gradual downward trend.

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< p > secondly, the coastal main a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > exports < /a > the growth rate of the provinces and cities showed a serious weakness.

The export of foreign-funded enterprises has seen negative growth, and the proportion of exports has declined.

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< p > again, the prices of major commodities imported generally declined.

On the face of it, the cost of imports has been reduced, but it is actually a manifestation of the overall weakness of the Chinese economy.

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P > < strong > the signal of economic structure adjustment < /strong > /p >

< p > first, the center of economic growth and foreign trade growth is further tilted from the eastern developed areas to the backward areas in the central and western regions.

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< p > second is the development of private enterprises, which greatly exceeds the development of foreign-funded enterprises and state-owned enterprises, and is conducive to increasing the employment and value added density of units GDP and investment.

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< p > third is the external dependence of foreign trade is more diversified, and foreign trade is further tilted from Europe, the United States, Asia, Latin America, Africa and Russia.

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< p > < strong > the trade data imply some worries < /strong > < /p >

< p > the biggest worry is whether a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_s.asp" > GDP < /a > growth can maintain 7.5% growth target.

Bowen in front of me has said that slow growth is not terrible. It is frightening that low growth will create employment pressure and cause social contradictions.

Therefore, Li Keqiang said China must keep the bottom line of growth.

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< p > the second worry is the expectation of RMB depreciation.

The slowdown in trade growth is not conducive to economic growth. In order to maintain growth, the renminbi can not only appreciate but also depreciate.

And once the yuan starts to depreciate, confidence in China's economic growth will drop.

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The third worry is that the processing trade has been declining and the traditional advantages of the eastern region have been further weakened in P.

To improve the development advantages of the eastern region, we must raise the level of technology, and the improvement of technological level will take a long time, and there is still great uncertainty and risk of pformation.

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< p > finally, economic growth slows down, and the real estate bubble may explode ahead of schedule.

The collapse of house prices is the biggest time bomb for China's economic development.

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