Stable Foreign Trade In 2014, Low Foreign Trade Data In January

< p > January 2014 > a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > foreign trade data < /a > will be released tomorrow. Experts generally believe that the data will be lower than the same month and the ring ratio. But this year, foreign trade is expected to be better than last year. The Chinese government will continue to stabilize foreign trade growth as the main task, and put forward new growth points such as cross-border e-commerce and trade in services. < /p >
< p > Jiang Chao, chief economist of Haitong Securities macroeconomic analyst, predicted that in January this year, foreign trade and import growth rates were 3.8% and 5.9% respectively, with a surplus of 26 billion 900 million US dollars. Zhang Li, deputy director of the comprehensive strategic research department of the Ministry of Commerce, thinks that the growth rate of foreign trade in January may be around 5%, down from 6.2% in December last year. < /p >
< p > "26.7% of the high growth rate caused by arbitrage trade in the same period last year, and the move of the Spring Festival to January, all of which made the significance of the foreign trade data signal greatly weakened in January this year. Compared with last December, the ratio should be slowed down. Zhang Li told reporters. < /p >
< p > Zhang Haiyuan, Associate Research Fellow of the Institute of foreign trade research of the Ministry of Commerce, believes that since China has not reached the foreign trade < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > the target date < /a > for two consecutive years, China's foreign trade target in 2014 has been consistent with the GDP growth target (7.5%), slightly lower than the target of 8% last year. According to statistics, in the 2014 government work report, a number of major foreign trade provinces have lowered their foreign trade indicators, of which Guangdong has been reduced from 5% to 1%, and Shandong has been transferred from 8% to 6%. < /p >
< p > however, a number of agencies have told reporters that the expected growth rate of foreign trade this year is better than that of last year. For example, Zhu Haibin, chief economist of J.P. Morgan, believes that the export industry will be moderately improved in 2014, benefiting from the global economic recovery, with a year-on-year growth rate of 11%. < /p >
< p > from the task of the 2013 national business conference, this year's a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > the Ministry of Commerce "/a" will continue the policy of "steady growth", adjust the structure of import and export, continue to implement export tax rebates, encourage the export of large scale equipment, on the other hand, expand the import of advanced technology and key equipment, and import of energy and raw materials. < /p >
< p > in addition, the Ministry of Commerce will speed up the development of cross-border e-commerce and service trade, and form a new growth point of foreign trade. "We should consolidate exports of traditional services such as transportation and tourism, support new service exports such as insurance, communications, R & D and design, and actively expand exports of special services such as culture, art, journalism, education and Chinese medicine." < /p >
< p > Zhang Li pointed out that the current deficit in China's service industry is relatively large, focusing on transportation and tourism. The Shanghai free trade zone will expand its service industry opening measures, and its experience may be copied to other areas one by one. In the next two or three years, the investment in services will be greatly attracted, and the import of services will grow relatively fast. < /p >
In 2013, the central economic work conference (P) has listed the stable foreign trade as one of the six tasks, and proposed the construction of the maritime Silk Road in twenty-first Century, strengthening the interconnection and construction of the sea passage and tightening up the ties of mutual interest. The maritime silk road is closely related to ASEAN countries or will become one of the growth points to boost foreign trade. < /p >