Circulation Branch Of China Textile Federation: Textile And Clothing Professional Market Boom Index Fell In September

The prosperity monitoring results of circulation branch of China Textile Federation show that in September 2022, the prosperity index of national textile and garment professional market managers is 49.73, 1.99 percentage points lower than 51.72 in August; The business climate index of professional market was 49.12, down 1.53 percentage points from 50.65 in August. In September, the prosperity index of professional market fell below 50, and the traditional peak season of textile and clothing professional market was cold.

　　 1、 The prosperity of managers and merchants fell below 50

According to the data, in September, the prosperity index of national textile and garment professional market managers and merchants dropped to below 50.

1. The business climate index of managers decreased by 1.99 percentage points

Chart 1 list of managers' index

Among the sub indexes, the total business index was 49.68, down 4.19 percentage points from 53.87 in August; The logistics delivery index was 50.00, down 2.90 percentage points from 52.90 in August; The passenger flow index was 49.68, down 1.61 percentage points from 52.19 in August; The opening rate index was 50.32, down 1.94 percentage points from 52.26 in August; The rent index was 50.00, flat with August; The e-commerce sales index was 48.71, down 1.29 percentage points from 50.00 in August. From the perspective of manager climate index, in the total index, the manager climate index in September was 49.73, down 1.99 percentage points from 51.72 in August; The business environment index was 49.68, down 3.87 percentage points from 53.55 in August.

2. The business climate index decreased by 1.53 percentage points

Chart 2 list of merchant index

In the sub index, the sales index was 48.37, down 2.79 percentage points from 51.16 in August; The average price index was 48.50, down 2.59 percentage points from 51.09 in August; The profit index was 48.16, down 3.00 percentage points from 51.16 in August; The comprehensive cost index was 50.75, up 0.34 percentage points from 50.41 in August; The inventory index was 49.73, down 0.75 percentage points from 50.48 in August; The e-commerce sales index was 49.18, down 0.41 percentage points from 49.59 in August. In terms of the business climate index, the business climate index in September was 49.12, down 1.53 percentage points from 50.65 in August; The business environment index was 48.64, down 3.67 percentage points from 52.31 in August.

　　 2、 Data analysis

1. The total market operation and logistics delivery index decreased

In September, 22.58% of the total amount of selected market operations decreased, which was 19.35% higher than that in August; The proportion of logistics delivery volume decreased by 22.58%, 19.35 percentage points higher than that in August; The total market operation and logistics delivery volume decreased, and the indexes fell below 50.

2. The total sales volume and profit index of merchants are basically the same

In September, 72.79% of the total sales of the selected merchants were flat, and 76.19% of the selected merchants' profits were flat, both of which reached more than 70%. It can be seen that the sales situation of merchants in September was basically the same as that in August.

　　 3、 The prediction index is lower than 50

The data shows that for managers, the business climate index of managers in the next period is 49.68, down 4.19 percentage points from 53.87 in August; The next business environment index was 49.35, down 4.52 percentage points from 53.87 in August. In terms of merchants, the next business climate index was 48.98, down 3.06 percentage points from 52.04 in August; The next business environment index was 48.84, down 3.20 percentage points from 52.04 in August. In terms of the forecast index, the four forecast indexes fell below 50, and the managers and merchants had insufficient confidence in the operation of October.

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1. Monitoring method

"Textile and clothing professional market prosperity index" consists of "manager index" and "merchant index". Using the sampling method, we selected markets and merchants of different business categories such as clothing, fabric, home textiles and small commodities, and filled in the questionnaires of managers' prosperity index and merchants' prosperity index respectively.

2. Monitoring samples

The sample of managers' prosperity consists of 31 specialized textile and garment markets, including Guangzhou Baima clothing market, Shandong Jimo clothing market, Jiangsu Dieshiqiao home textile market, Shanghai xinqipu clothing market, Liaoning Xiliu clothing market. The sample of business prosperity is composed of 147 merchants, including Taotao clothing, sandley textile, Weibang home textile and Victoria cashmere.

3. Monitoring period

The business cycle is monthly, submitted at the end of each month and released at the beginning of the next month.

4. Index composition

In the "textile and clothing professional market prosperity index", the "manager index" consists of four first-class indexes: the current manager prosperity index, the next management prosperity index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index; The "current manager climate index" consists of six secondary indexes: total business index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, opening rate index, rent index and e-commerce sales index.

"Merchant index" is composed of four first-class indexes: the current business climate index, the next business climate index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index; "Business climate index of this period" is composed of six secondary indexes: Sales Index, average selling price index, profit index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and e-commerce sales index.

5. Index analysis

The positive index includes manager's total business index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, merchant opening rate index, rent index, e-commerce sales volume proportion index, merchant sales volume index, average selling price index, profit index and e-commerce sales proportion index. If the positive index exceeds 50, it indicates that the business situation is optimistic, and the larger the value, the more optimistic it is; The positive index is lower than 50, indicating that the business situation is not optimistic; The smaller the number, the more pessimistic.

The reverse index includes merchant cost index and inventory index. When the cost index is over 50, it means that the merchant's cost pressure decreases; If the cost index is lower than 50, it indicates that the cost pressure of merchants increases. The smaller the value, the greater the cost pressure. When the inventory index exceeds 50, it indicates that the inventory pressure of merchants decreases, and the larger the value, the smaller the inventory pressure; If the inventory index is lower than 50, it indicates that the merchant's inventory pressure increases, and the smaller the value, the greater the inventory pressure.