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Wu Peng: The Fed'S Words Are Optimistic And The US Index Has Risen Sharply.

2014/10/30 15:07:00 16

Wu PengFedUS Fingers

At 2:00 this morning, the Federal Reserve announced the result and statement of interest rate resolution. The Federal Reserve adopted 9:1 to maintain interest rate 0-0.25% unchanged through interest rate resolution. The Federal Reserve announced that it would reduce the size of QE purchase debt by 15 billion US dollars and stop QE3 buying bonds.

The Fed's interest rate resolution statement includes: it is appropriate to maintain the interest rate unchanged for a long time after the US Federal Reserve stopped buying debt; the long-term inflation expectations remained stable; the low energy prices continued to exert downward pressure on short-term inflation; the US labor market index showed a gradual decrease in the labor market utilization; the expected economy will expand at a moderate speed; the labor market will further improve; the labor market risk will be "close to equilibrium"; the lower unemployment rate will mean a steady improvement in the employment market; household expenditure will increase moderately, and commercial fixed investment will increase, but the recovery of the real estate market is still fragile, and the recovery of the real estate market is still fragile, and the economic and employment prospects are almost balanced.

The Fed's interest rate rise depends on the process of inflation approaching the Fed's target.

The Fed expressed optimism in terms of inflation, employment, consumption and investment, and withdrew from the QE combination to boost the US index.

The ECB survey showed that all lending standards were relaxed in the third quarter. The banking industry expects to further relax credit standards in the four quarter. It is estimated that demand for loans will continue to increase in the fourth quarter. The bank's TLTRO intake will be affected by profitability. The bank plans to use TLTRO funds to issue additional loans.

Euro

District banks were expected to subscribe 170 billion euros in the second round of TLTRO in December.

The world bank statement: China's economic growth model is changing and will be more determined by market forces. China's property market overcapacity will curb housing prices in the next few quarters. China's growth slowdown is structural and not temporary slowdown. China's GDP growth target next year will be 7%.

job market

Get enough protection.

The New Zealand Federal Reserve said the New Zealand Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged at 3.5, and the New Zealand Federal Reserve abandoned further tightening of monetary policy. Price inflation has dropped significantly, and the economy of major economies has been weakening except for the US, and the New Zealand dollar is expected to slide further.

Today's concern: 16:55 German unemployment after the 10 monthly adjustment, the unemployment rate of the 10 quarter of October, the euro area October economic prosperity index, the number of unemployed Americans who first invited / continued unemployment, the initial GDP value of the United States in the third quarter, and the annual CPI initial value of Germany and Germany.

Euro dollar

The euro was heavily overcharged yesterday, with pressure above 1.2770 on the top and supported by 1.2620.

The adjustment began in October on the Japanese line, and the euro continued downward downward trend. The average medium-term repression of the exchange rate was more effective.

The 4H level RSI is below 50, the MACD green pillar expands, and the overall energy is very weak.

Support: 1.2500, 1.2600 resistance: 1.2710, 1.2770.

Operation suggestion: wait and see.

  

gold

Gold fell sharply overnight, fell below the 1218 line of key support, the daily average of the medium-term line again pressure on the exchange rate, gold 5 waves down or will continue.

The mid and long term 4H average price pressure is formed, RSI is below 50, MACD is green pillar, and the overall energy and relative energy are weaker.

Support: 1190, 1209.50 resistance: 1241, 1249.

Operation recommendations: 1218 near the attempt to empty, stop loss $4, target 1209.50, 1190.

US dollar yen

The United States and Japan rose sharply yesterday, breaking 108.33 front-line resistance. Today, Asia's market is firmly on the top of the 108.83 line.

The 4H level moving average system has supported the exchange rate. The RSI combination is above 50, MACD is positive column, and the total energy and relative energy are strong.

Support: 107.40, 108.33 resistance: 110, 116.

Operation suggestion: 108.33 more nearby, stop loss 30 points, target 110.

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